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piatok 9. októbra 2026

Art of War: Strategic Survival — Leaving the Crisis Zone Before the Tipping Point

Human survival must be seen from a broader perspective than the one offered by publications about the SEALs, the SAS or the Spetsnaz. Real survival is far more complex than merely procuring food and building a fire somewhere in a deserted place. Human survival must be understood as comprehensive survival within human civil society during a period of crisis.

It is unlikely that you will end up in a deserted, inaccessible place where you will hunt game, filter water and light a fire by rubbing sticks together. This kind of wilderness survival is the basic type of survival, one that can be trained by people who work in conditions where they may find themselves in a situation requiring such knowledge. So what does real survival in human society mean?

Survival in human society is the material, mental and spiritual readiness to leave a crisis area at the right moment with minimal material provision, and then to settle in a new, safer homeland, whether temporary or permanent.

If for some reason you have decided not to fight for survival where you stand, but to save your loved ones first, then only by leaving the crisis area in time will you be able to secure a future for yourself and those close to you.


The Basic Questions of Survival

  1. What is a crisis situation, and what is a crisis area?
  2. When does the moment come to leave the crisis area?
  3. Where should I go with my loved ones — that is, the choice of a destination area?
  4. How do I reach the destination area most effectively?
  5. What material provision do I need for the journey?
  6. How do I protect myself and my loved ones?
Survival in the wild concerns only a small part of a person's real, comprehensive survival in this world. For the purposes of strategic survival, what matters most is your intelligence, your presence of mind and your psychological resilience.

Why? Simply because questions one to five depend on your knowledge, your assessment of the situation and your mental balance, and only the last question requires more developed material skills and a somewhat better-trained body. Even that last point will be pure horror for less intelligent individuals, because by acting unwisely they may endanger themselves and their loved ones before they ever reach the destination area. You must always be aware that when you intervene, you set off many reactions that may slip out of your control, and for that kind of presence of mind you need certain innate and learned abilities. This holds many times over for the use of violence.

Everything, however, has its cause and its consequence, and it may happen that, although you are prepared to the utmost, you fail, and neither your physical body nor the bodies of your loved ones survive. To be at peace with this is the most important thing in survival. Without accepting the final death of the physical body as part of human existence you cannot survive, because the fear of death and dying is the greatest fear a human being faces. It is important to build behind your actions a philosophical concept that will help you survive — and not, on the contrary, one that will make you indifferent to the future.


[1] Crisis and the Crisis Situation

A crisis in human life is a moment of distinct imbalance that forces us to make radical changes and so bring life back into a temporary balance. In the social sense, it is a critical disruption of the balance of the current political and economic order, which may result in civil unrest or even war.

A crisis situation in human life is a situation marked by crisis — that is, by imbalance, a state of hardship, shortage or decline. From the standpoint of the security and protection of our state, the crisis situation is governed by Constitutional Act No. 227/2002 Coll. on the Security of the State in Time of War, State of War, State of Emergency and State of Crisis [Slovak Republic]. It is a period during which the security of the state is directly threatened or disrupted, and the constitutional authorities may, in order to deal with it, declare war or proclaim a state of war, a state of emergency or a state of crisis.

It is important to understand these terms in depth, because understanding them will help us with the analysis in the second point of our discussion.


[2] The Critical Tipping Point of a Crisis

The critical tipping point is the moment of crisis, of imbalance, from which a return to the initial state is no longer possible, and further events take a course beyond our control.

It follows from the definitions in points one and two that your decision to leave the crisis area must come before this critical tipping point arrives. If the government declares war, if a state of war is proclaimed, if martial law is declared, or if uncontrolled violence takes hold of the city streets, you have missed the tipping point. If border protection is stepped up, or the borders are closed entirely, or the call-up of reserves begins — and likewise if commercial transport options are cancelled — you will find it very hard to manage leaving the country with your loved ones.

Recognising the moment when the die is already cast is therefore very important, and it demands sound analytical reasoning and skill in following the socio-political and socio-economic situation. A simple example from life will make it easy to understand when the die is cast and when you still have time to turn the situation around. If your fist is flying toward another person's nose, then even if you miss, the die is cast — ALEA IACTA EST. As long as you have not yet struck, you have a choice, and can handle the critical situation differently.


[3] The Destination Area of Migration

The choice of a safe country for the rest of your life is influenced by many factors, but the most important are those that delimit the various levels of the crisis area. A crisis area has its hypocentre, its epicentre and its radiation zone, much as in the explosion of an atomic bomb or in an earthquake.

  • The hypocentre is the source of the crisis, something rather hidden beneath the surface and not visible at first glance. It is the ideological centre of the crisis. 
  • The epicentre is already a concrete area, city or country from which the crisis or conflict spreads into the surrounding world. There may be several epicentres. 
  • The radiation zone is an area where the crisis is felt, but its impact on life is not critical — though there remains a possibility that the conflict will spread into this area too.

Everything outside this complex area is a temporarily safe area.

Which country you set out for depends on your knowledge of the geopolitical situation. The great powers have their strategic plans, and these contain certain points of interest. They are mostly areas with great mineral wealth, fertile land and water, or they are so-called transit territories, or bases for defence and attack. You should avoid these countries in the event of global conflicts. In the event of local conflicts, you must choose a country that has a sufficiently strong army and is sufficiently far from the epicentres of the conflict. Should you feel the need to take part in the fighting for your original homeland, your family is outside the danger zones, and you can go back and fight.


[4] Transport

Let us assume you have judged the situation well and are leaving the country in time. You have chosen a country that, in your view, will not take part in the conflict directly and is sufficiently distant from all the epicentres. Next comes choosing the most effective means of transport. Simple at first glance; at second glance, not quite.

The greatest freedom of movement will be given to you by a private means of transport that you can operate. Here a principle applies that is more important than ownership itself: what decides is your ability to operate the vehicle and to have access to it at the right moment — not ownership on paper. Access to an aircraft is worthless if you cannot take off and land safely.

That is why the strategic solution to transport is made in advance, in time of peace, and rests on three pillars:

  1. Redundancy. Never one vehicle and one route — a car in working order, a full tank as the standard and not the exception, a second route away from the main roads, and a walking variant for the last kilometres thought through in advance.
  2. Contacts. Cultivate relationships that will let you obtain a vehicle legally and quickly when you need it — an arrangement with an acquaintance, a shared vehicle, access to a means of transport you know how to operate. A network of trust is worth more than property that can be confiscated or that gets stranded.
  3. Documents and legitimacy. In a crisis, the person who gets across the border is the one whose papers are in order and who gives the security forces no reason to deal with him. Every reason to detain you is lost time — time you do not have at the tipping point.
An important note on legality. Necessity is not a licence — it is a defence that applies only when no milder option existed and you did not bring the threatened harm upon yourself. Building a survival plan on taking other people's property is a strategic mistake, not a solution. Theft turns you into hunted game — precisely the state that the whole of strategic survival seeks to avoid. Whoever plans in time will never get into that position.

If you have not managed to secure a private means of transport, all that remains to you is public transport — trains, buses and air travel. If you have judged the moment well, these services may still be usable. If you are late, flights are probably cancelled, and bus and train connections run only sporadically, because the roads and railways are beginning to be used for moving troops and equipment. Reckon also with modern reality — GPS jamming, road closures and checkpoints on the main exit routes, and fuel restrictions — so carry paper maps as well as offline navigation, keep fuel as a permanent reserve, and plan your route away from the corridors the army will take over first.

Short distances can also be covered on foot. If you go on foot, you should plan your journey so that your whole group can manage the terrain, and so that throughout the march everyone has enough water, food, rest and protection.


[5] Materiel and Technical Provision [MTP]

Every member of your "evacuation team" should be able to carry his own materiel and a food supply for at least 72 hours [3 days]. The weight must be reduced for children, the elderly, the sick and the wounded. A very important part of your materiel, however, is not only the things you will use to start a fire, or medicines and food, but also financial resources — in cash and in virtual form.

In cash you should have at least six (6) of your current monthly salaries. The rest of your finances you should hold in gold [Aurum] and silver [Argentum]. As for silver, there is one more use that matters for your materiel. Silver is highly antibacterial and antiseptic, so it is a good idea to have cutlery and a water cup (or a whole bottle) made of silver, or at least silver-plated. If you cannot afford silver, use stainless steel. Under no circumstances use aluminium [Aluminium]!

If you also rely on virtual money, it is important to keep your money in several foreign accounts, and not only in the country where you live. If no fatal social crisis occurs in your lifetime — God grant it — properly invested resources will surely grow in value. If you do not use them, they will remain to your descendants or other relatives.

WARNING! In the event of total crisis = apocalypse = financial resources are unusable. In a state of chaos and shortage of everything, barter is what works above all. Financial resources become usable again when civil society begins to reconstruct itself. Gold, silver and jewellery are worthless in a post-apocalyptic world. What has high value at such a time is above all water, food, medicine, hygiene supplies, clothing, and weapons with ammunition.

A separate chapter of your materiel is weapons and ammunition. A simple rule applies here: if you are migrating in peacetime, rely on edged weapons, which are easy to conceal and need no ammunition; if you are moving through a country where unrest is occurring, firearms are appropriate. Every member of your "evacuation group" should have a weapon and should be able to use it and look after it.

For the choice of weapon a simple and timeless rule applies: Carry a weapon and ammunition that are widely available in your area. Do not use weapons that need special ammunition or special resources to function, because you will either not get them, or they will cost you too many resources. This rule does not change — what changes is the answer to the question of what is widely available, and that answer must therefore be read on two levels:

1. Military "resupply" logic — what standard army and security units use. This answer changes over time according to procurement decisions. For Slovakia, for decades, it was rifles in calibre 7.62×39 mm (the vz. 58 assault rifle). Today the Armed Forces of the Slovak Republic are moving to the NATO standard 5.56×45 mm (M4A1, Grand Power M4M, CZ BREN 2), which is also the most available round across the allied armies. So if you are counting on resupply from military sources, your reference today is 5.56×45, not 7.62×39.

2. Regional civilian availability — what actually circulates. Here 7.62×39 mm remains dominant: decades of the vz. 58, the ubiquity of the AK platform throughout Central and Eastern Europe, enormous surpluses and a low price. For the pistol, the answer is clearly 9×19 mm Parabellum — the most widespread pistol round in our country, in the army, the police and on the civilian market.

In practice: for a peacetime move, 9×19 (pistol) and 7.62×39 (long gun) will give you the cheapest and most available ammunition in the region; if you are preparing for a scenario dependent on alliance logistics, add 5.56×45 NATO. If you are taking only a hunting weapon with you, long guns in .22 Long Rifle are ideal [e.g. the Ruger 10/22 Takedown]. .22 LR ammunition is quiet, light, and above all commonly available and cheap almost all over the world.

To the four classic categories of materiel there now inseparably belongs a fifth — information and digital provision. In a modern crisis you are being watched, your money can be frozen with a single order, and your mobile phone broadcasts your location. Therefore: keep your documents both in physical form and as an encrypted digital copy in two places; spread your money across several jurisdictions, with part of it in self-custodied cryptocurrency (you either remember the seed phrase or keep it split across several places); download offline maps and navigation in advance; ensure energy independence (a power bank, a small solar panel, a spare phone and SIM); and practise conscious management of your digital footprint — the mobile phone is a tracking device, social networks are intelligence for anyone, and you must also reckon with passive surveillance (number-plate-reading cameras, drones over moving groups).

Your materiel thus consists of the things you carry with you, and these can be divided into the following main categories:

  1. Clothing, water, food, and the tools for preparing and consuming it.
    [If you have nothing to eat, you will have no strength; you will waste away, fall ill and die.]
  2. Medicines, sterile material for treating wounds, and hygiene supplies.
    [After food, cleanliness and hygiene are the most important thing on journeys through hostile surroundings.]
  3. Weapons, ammunition, and the equipment to carry them.
    [Without weapons you will not be able to defend yourself: resisting one or two people is possible without an effective weapon, but resisting a starving mob or an armed group is impossible.]
  4. Financial provision, in cash and non-cash form.
    [If you have nothing to buy materiel with, you will have to steal — and that will make you hunted game.]
  5. Information and digital provision: documents, communications, and management of your digital footprint.
    [Without documents you are nobody at the border; with a dead or unmanaged device you are blind, mute and trackable.]

You should have all your materiel prepared as a "Bug-Out Bag", alias BOB — that is, in one place, so that within a few minutes you can throw it on and leave your home.

[6] Combat Skills

You can see for yourself how much knowledge and how many skills you should master in order to handle the first five points of strategic survival. The sixth point is more practical, and "less" demanding in strategy than the previous ones. We may also call it tactical survival, which is where practical martial art and skills belong — that is, how, when and where to use violence, and where not to. To study this point you can use the manuals mentioned at the start of this article, but it is better to find someone who acquired his skills through personal experience. Avoid people whose skills have never been tested under crisis conditions — you can play at survival more cheaply!

Finally, one small thing that you may already have realised yourself while reading this article; but if not, let me remind you.

The worst thing you can do if armed conflict breaks out in your country is to stay at home with your family [especially in a city] and try to protect your property and family on the spot, and alone. If you stay at home, you will be called up into the army, and your family will be left unprotected. 

If you have a family, it is your duty to protect it first — and then you can throw yourself into the war on whichever side your convictions lead you.

Note for readers outside Slovakia: This article was written for Slovak readers and cites the legislation and conditions of the Slovak Republic (in particular Constitutional Act No. 227/2002 Coll., and the calibres and armament of the Slovak Armed Forces). Laws on states of emergency, mobilisation, border crossing, and the possession, carrying and transport of weapons and ammunition differ from country to country. Before acting on anything in this article, check the legislation of the state in which you live and of every state you intend to travel through.

Art of War: An Introduction to Archery — Lessons from the Arab and Persian Masters

One day Nūshīrvān asked Bābak Ārez: Which men-at-arms are the most renowned? He answered: The masters of the bow and arrow. Nūshīrvān was surprised and wanted him to explain more fully, so he asked: What should such men be like? 

He answered: Their whole bodies should be made of heart [courage], and their hearts should be made of weapons [strength], and all their weapons should be the bow, and all their bows should be arrows, and all their arrows should be the hearts of their enemies. 

Nūshīrvān asked further: How is one to understand this? And again he answered: When they keep their hearts and weapons mighty, the string smooth and strong like the bow, and keep the arrow straight and true to the line, then the string will find its place in the heart of the enemy.

The Persians define the ideal adept — the student of archery — as follows:

"In the name of God, the Merciful, the Compassionate
Bismi llāhi r-raḥmāni r-raḥīm
بِسْمِ اللهِ الرَّحْمٰنِ الرَّحِيْمِ 
the recognised books on archery describe those who wish to learn this science as follows:

01) he should be pure of heart,
02) he should be grateful to his teacher,
03) he should not be greedy, and should lead a clean life,
04) he should keep his word and do good deeds,
05) he should be cheerful and generous,
06) he should be able to endure hardship and live by the principles of javānmardī [chivalry],
07) he should be open-chested and broad-shouldered,
08) he should not be an oppressor, nor insult people,
09) he should not be lazy, and should be a good servant,
10) he should have long arms, and should be modest.

The teaching of this art is not recommended to the ungrateful, the miserly, the knavish, the disagreeable, or the wicked."

If you think the ten points above describe you, let me add a piece of advice: Don't reinvent what has already been invented! By all means refine the art of your forefathers — but realise that the people who used the bow and arrow five hundred or more years ago, in daily life and in war, surely knew what they were talking about; and if you wish to improve on their art, it is wise first to master what they knew.


"If glory is to strike the foe, 
then best to use the swiftest throw
and loose the arrow from the bow."

Strength,
speed,
accuracy
and care for one's own protection.

These are the four basic pillars of archery — and not of archery alone. Without mastering them, an archer will perish in battle. Why?

If the arrows loosed are not penetrating and full of strength, the opponent will easily turn them aside with his shield. If the archer lacks speed and is slow in shooting, his opponent will close on him quickly and destroy him before he can do anything. If the archer lacks accuracy, the opponent will hold him in contempt and overcome him easily. If he cannot defend himself well, the opponent will bring him down without trouble.

These four points are as indispensable to archers as the archer, the bow, the string and the arrow are to shooting itself.

The Technical Principles of Archery

1.0 the grip
2.0 setting the nock on the string — "nocking"
3.0 the hold (the locking of the drawing hand)
4.0 the draw
5.0 aiming
6.0 the release

All six of these principles are important parts of the shot, and by perfect mastery of them all the archer acquires the four main pillars of archery. The ordering of the principles above is my own selection, for my own needs. As a matter of interest, here is how the principles were ordered by various historical medieval Arab and Persian schools.

Abū Hāshim al-Māwardī said that there are four principles of shooting:

(1.0) the grip
(3.0) the hold
(5.0) aiming
(6.0) the release


Ṭāhir al-Balkhī maintains five principles of shooting:

(1.0) the grip
(2.0) nocking
(3.0) the hold
(5.0) aiming
(6.0) the release


Isḥāq al-Raqqī said there are ten:

(0.1) stringing the bow
(0.2) standing sideways to the target, so that it is in line with the left eye
(1.0) the grip
(2.0) nocking
(3.0) the hold
(4.1) drawing to the mouth
(4.2) stopping the arrowhead between the two joints of the left thumb
(5.0) aiming
(6.0) the release
(6.1) opening the hand


Abū Jaʿfar Muḥammad ibn al-Ḥasan al-Harawī maintains seven principles of shooting:

(0.1) stringing the bow
(1.0) the grip
(2.0) nocking
(3.0) the hold
(4.0) the draw
(5.0) aiming
(6.0) the release


Some teachers claim the principles are four, and these:

(1.0) the grip
(4.3) drawing with the fingers forming the number 63 [the thumb lock, expressed in the Arabic system of finger-reckoning]
(5.0) aiming
(6.0) the release

The technical principles, however, are not all that makes up the art of archery. There are other important branches of knowledge in this art, closely tied to the principles. According to the Arabic manuscripts there are nine of these associated branches:

on the even and smooth draw
on the capabilities of the bow
on the capabilities of the string
on the capabilities of the nock
on the capabilities of the arrow
on the construction of the bow
on the ability to shoot in full armour
on accurate shooting
on inflicting damage


The Persians add the following as important:

on adequate equipment
on the proper clothing of the archer
on arrowheads
on weather and atmospheric conditions
on suitable positions
on the knowledge of distances


The technical principles are those without which shooting is impossible, while the associated branches are of great use to the archer who wishes to penetrate deep into the secret of shooting. Besides all the principles and branches, the archer needs two further important qualities. They are prudence and patience!

Beginning the Training

Before you begin to practise archery, it is important to choose the right bow. The main thing in choosing a bow is your strength in relation to the bow, and the kind of archery you want to practise.

Choosing a Bow by Its Strength

An archer can determine the strength of his bow in various ways. One of them is to take the bow, string it, grip it with the left hand, take the string with the index, middle and ring fingers of the right hand, and very slowly draw the bow to the left elbow. At this point he should let go of the string with the ring finger and continue drawing until the full draw of his arrow.
If the archer can make such a draw without shaking, without trembling and without strain, the bow is below his maximum limit and is suitable for aiming and shooting. If, on the other hand, the bow begins to shake and tremble when the ring finger lets go, and the archer cannot draw it to the full length of the arrow, then the bow exceeds his abilities.

Another way of determining a bow's strength is to take the bow, string it, nock a suitable arrow, set the arrowhead on the ground, spread the legs apart and draw the full length of the arrow in this position. If the archer succeeds in this draw, the bow is suitable for him to use. Otherwise it is too strong for him and unsuitable. After this double test the archer can go on to weigh the bow's strength precisely with weights, so as to establish exactly what his range of strength is for each type of bow.

Choosing a Bow by Its Purpose

The composite bow is an elaborate product of careful workmanship. Its construction resembles that of living beings. Just as the human body is created from four main components (bones, flesh, sinews and blood), so the bow is made of four main components. The wood in the bow is like the skeleton in a man, the horn like the flesh (the muscles), the sinew like the sinews, and the glue like the blood.
Just as a human being has a belly and a back, so does the bow; and just as a man can bend easily and without injury inward toward the belly, but may hurt himself if he bends outward toward the back, so it is with the bow. It may bend inward toward its belly, but bending it against its back may cause it to break.

Variations in the construction of the bow, in keeping with its different purposes, produce five kinds of bow:

the war bow
the training bow
the bow for target competition
the bow for flight (distance) competition
the bow for trick shooting


The war bow should be equal to the archer's strength, with short ends (siyah) and a straight grip. It should have more horn than wood, and more sinew than wood. It should not be very recurved, so that it can be strung quickly. It should have more horn than wood because the strength of the bow and its performance depend on the horn: the more there is, the stronger the bow — but the more prone it is to warping under the influence of the weather. The more wood and sinew it has, the straighter it stays, but its strength falls. One must find the golden mean in the use of horn.

The training bow should be a little stronger than the archer's abilities. With regular training it gradually becomes easier to handle. The archer should then add one and a half dirhams [a unit of weight] of sinew to increase the bow's strength. He should repeat this each time the bow becomes more flexible for him and loses strength, until the bow once again reaches the archer's capacity. The training bow should have broad limbs, a rounded grip and strong ends. Its sinew should exceed both the horn and the wood.

The bow for target competition should be of average size and construction, with less wood than horn and with the thickness of sinew in balance with the horn. In addition it should have a slender grip, and its limbs should be curved and of medium size. The ends should be of medium length and medium curvature. If it has these characteristics, this target bow will be without defects, and its usefulness and accuracy will be high.

The bow for flight (distance) competition should have a rounded grip and long ends, and should be curved both in the grip and in the ends. Its limbs should be smaller and rounded, the lower one less and the upper one more — or, according to other archers, exactly the reverse, the upper limb less curved than the lower. The longer and more dominant the ends and the grip, the faster and harder the arrow flies; for the slacker the bow, the weaker it is — but the less prone to occasional faults and shortcomings.

The bow for trick shooting should be like the one used by the Persians: with a square grip of medium size, short and thick ends of almost equal length, and limbs of equal length and width. In addition it should be very flexible; in strength it should not exceed half the archer's strength.

Once you have chosen your bow and made or acquired your arrows, you can begin training. To close this introduction to archery, let us also name the targets an archer strikes, according to a Persian manuscript:

tīr bar del zadan — to shoot an arrow into the heart
tīr bar gardan zadan — to shoot an arrow into the throat
tīr bar jegargāh zadan — to shoot an arrow into the liver
tīr bar sīne andākhtan — to shoot an arrow into the chest
tīr bar shekam zadan — to shoot an arrow into the belly
tīr bar shāne zadan — to strike the shoulder with an arrow
tīr bar chashm zadan — to shoot an arrow into the eye
tīr bar dahān zadan — to strike the enemy's open mouth with an arrow
tīr bar band-e dast zadan — to strike the wrist with an arrow ...

Literature used:
  • Dhanurveda Saṃhitā [Bhāratavarṣa] — undated
  • Nowruznāmeh [Persia] — 11th century CE
  • A Book on the Excellence of the Bow and Arrow [Morocco] — 15th century CE
  • Manuscript of Sharīf Muḥammad [Persia] — early 16th century CE
  • Jāmeʿ al-hedāyāt fī ʿelm al-romāyāt [Persia] — 1574 CE
  • Resāle-ye kamāndārī [Persia] — undated

On the sources: The medieval manuscripts listed above are accessible today chiefly through modern critical editions and translations. The Arabic tradition (the dialogue, the qualities of the student, the principles of the masters al-Māwardī, al-Balkhī, al-Raqqī and al-Harawī, the construction of the composite bow and the five types of bow) draws on the classic translation of a medieval Arabic manuscript: N. A. Faris & R. P. Elmer, Arab Archery (Princeton University Press, 1945). The Persian tradition and the terminology of target strikes follow the modern literature on Persian archery: M. M. Khorasani, Persian Archery and Swordsmanship (2013). Arabic and Persian names and terms follow the international (DIN 31635 / IJMES) convention.